NBA Futures

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (47-36) at DENVER NUGGETS (58-25) Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Denver -8 & 207
2013-04-23

Denver PG Andre Miller hit an acrobatic reverse lay-up with less than two seconds remaining to cap off a 28-point night and give his team a 97-95 win in Saturday's Game 1. Not only did Golden State lose the game, but they also lost All-Star PF David Lee to a torn right hip flexor in the fourth quarter that will keep him out for the remainder of the postseason. The Nuggets were also missing their starting PF Kenneth Faried (ankle), but he might be able to return to the court on Tuesday for the first time since April 14. Both teams finished the regular season strong, as the Warriors won 10 of their final 15 games (SU and ATS) while the Nuggets closed the season with eight wins in their final nine contests (5-4 ATS). With Saturday's tight victory, Denver has now won four of the five meetings (3-2 ATS) between these teams this season, and is a remarkable 39-3 SU (28-14 ATS) at Pepsi Center, including 24 straight home wins. Golden State is only 19-23 SU (20-21-1 ATS) on the road this season, but is now 5-2 ATS in its past seven away games.

Golden State had little trouble putting up points this season with 101.2 PPG (7th in NBA) on 45.8percent FG (11th in league) and an NBA-best 40.3percent three-point clip. In Game 1, they fell well below all of those averages with 95 points on 41percent FG and 36percent threes. Despite holding teams to 43.9percent FG (4th in NBA) and 34.7percent threes (7th in league), the Warriors still allowed 100.3 PPG overall (19th in NBA) and 107.5 PPG in the season series, so they were pleased to hold Denver to 97 points. Golden State committed the third-most turnovers in the league (14.8 TOPG), but was strong on the glass with a +2.3 RPG margin (8th in NBA). Both of these trends held true on Saturday when the team committed 17 turnovers but dominated the boards with a 55-45 rebounding edge. PF David Lee and C Andrew Bogut were the biggest reason their team fared so well on the boards in Game 1, pulling down 14 rebounds apiece. With Lee leading the NBA with 56 double-doubles in the regular season, eight more than any other player, his absence will surely be felt. Lee also crushed Denver during the regular season with 23.3 PPG (56percent FG), 10.3 RPG, 5.0 APG and 2.3 steals per game. Bogut and PF Carl Landry will be asked to score more in the paint. Bogut netted just nine points on Saturday, but blocked four shots and posted a team-best +10 rating. Landry came off the bench to score 14 points with five rebounds in 24 minutes. PG Stephen Curry set an NBA record for most three-pointers made in a season (272), as he actually shot better from three-point range (45.3percent) than from inside the arc (44.9percent) this season. He couldn't make anything to start the game, going 0-for-9 from the floor, but heated up after that dry spell by finishing 7-of-11 FG including a game-tying three-pointer right before Andre Miller's heroics. Curry finished with 19 points, nine assists, four rebounds, five turnovers and a +8 rating. SG Klay Thompson had a huge finish to the regular season with three straight 20-point efforts, averaging 24.0 PPG on 48percent shooting over that span. He kept that streak going in Game 1 with a team-high 22 points (10-for-19 FG). PG Jarrett Jack shot just 42percent FG in the regular-season series with the Nuggets, and was also cold on Saturday, making just 3-of-12 shots (0-for-5 threes). But he still contributed a near triple-double with 10 points, 10 assists and eight rebounds in 33 minutes off the bench.

The Nuggets led the NBA in scoring with 106.1 PPG, as they attempted the second-most field goals in the league (85.2 FGA per game). But they also shot a stellar 47.8percent FG (5th in NBA), despite a subpar 34.3percent clip on three-pointers (25th in league) during the regular season. Denver failed to reach any of these marks in Game 1 though, scoring 97 points on 44.7percent FG and 3-of-16 threes, while missing 10 free throws. Miller was the only Nuggets player with more than a dozen points, getting his playoff-career-high 28 points on 11-of-16 FG with five assists and just two turnovers. Miller had been in a major shooting slump over the final four games of the regular season, scoring just 6.3 PPG on 6-of-30 shooting. PG Ty Lawson didn't play very well in the playoff series opener with 12 points and four assists, well below his 16.7 PPG and 6.9 APG during the regular season. But two other starters also played very well in SF Wilson Chandler and SG Andre Iguodala. Chandler shot just 5-of-16 from the floor, but still finished with a double-double of 11 points and 13 rebounds. He has really stepped up his offense with SF Danilo Gallinari (torn ACL) sidelined, pouring in 20.0 PPG on 51percent FG (43percent threes) with 6.0 RPG in the final five regular-season games. Iguodala took just four shots, but wound up with eight points, 10 rebounds, five assists, three steals and a game-high +11 rating. This performance wasn't a big surprise considering he had a huge series versus Golden State in the regular season with 20.0 PPG, 6.3 RPG and 5.0 APG in the four meetings. PF Kenneth Faried hasn't played a full game since April 12 when he recorded a double-double (11 pts, 10 reb) in Dallas. The team thinks his ankle is healed enough for Tuesday, as Faried was a beast in the paint with 11.5 PPG, 11.3 RPG and 2.3 BPG against the Warriors this season.




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Greg Oden out for the season, Portland not giving up
2010-12-06

Portland Trail Blazers centre Greg Oden underwent micro-fracture surgery for the third time in his career that will sideline him again for the rest of the season.
Oden, who was the first overall pick in the 2007 NBA draft, is preparing for a comeback from a knee injury when Blazers team trainer Jay Jensen revealed that the 22-year-old centre sustained another injury, which is not related to the previous one he had last season.
“Greg's patella fracture and his chondral injury that he has are not related although they're in the same knee,” said Jensen. “They are two totally separate situations.” But this is no solace to NBA betting fans. The Blazers are now a nervous bet.
Jensen also added that he was shocked when the doctors told him that the former Ohio State standout would need surgery that will sideline him again for the third time since he was drafted by Portland.
“We sat there and it was like we'd been kicked in the stomach,” Jensen said. “It felt like hearing someone close to us had died.”
Portland head coach Nate McMillan, on the other hand, was also disappointed upon hearing the news. The veteran head coach said that he was excited to have Oden back, especially after seeing him work hard during the rehabilitation period, but he’s not yet giving up on his young centre.
“Being so close to getting back on the floor, just all of a sudden this situation comes up and it's like, ‘Here we go again' for him,” McMillan said. “As I told him, he has to stay positive, and he has to keep believing. He'll have an opportunity to continue to work to get back on the floor.”
McMillan also confirmed that Oden was devastated when he learned that he will not be able to play this season, but he reminded the big man to stay positive, like Bill Walton did during his days with the Blazers. Walton was also a former No.1 pick by Portland in 1974, but he was sidelined by different injuries in his first three years with the team, before leading them to an NBA title in 1977.
“When things go wrong, we as a society, we all want to find someone to point the finger at, or blame, and sometimes things just happen,” McMillan said. “These injuries, each one of them, they just happened.”
Oden, who was drafted ahead of Oklahoma City Thunder superstar Kevin Durant, has only played 82 games with the Blazers, but despite all the setbacks he had, the Portland Trail Blazers organization is not ready to give up on him.
Blazers president Larry Miller said that they are planning to offer an $8.8 million qualifying offer to Oden next off-season that will prevent him from becoming an unrestricted free agent next season. Being a restricted free agent, the Blazers would have the rights to match any offers from other teams.
“If Greg Oden plays up to his potential he is worth that,” Miller said. “We will see where rehabilitations are at that level. But at this point, I don’t see us not giving the offer if Greg is doing the things we need to see him doing to get back on the court. I do not feel like I am ready to give up on Greg Oden. I don’t think anybody in our organization is ready.”
Oden will need a minimum of six months for his rehabilitation and he will be available before the start of next season, barring any new injury. As an NBA bettor are you still game for the Trailblazers? Take your action at www.sportsbook.com the home of NBA betting.


NBA: Suns eclipsed – better bet in second game?
2010-05-19

There is always a bit of the unknown when a NBA team has a long layoff, you can never be sure what it means, good or bad. The Orlando Magic appeared to be effected negatively with their extra time off against Boston, but the Lakers played refreshed and looked better than a Santa Monica sunset in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals versus Phoenix. Game 2 of the series comes tonight in L.A., and the hosts have been set up as 6.5-point favorites once again, according to Sportsbook.com.

Kobe Bryant was in “the zone” scoring 40 points on 23 shot attempts on Monday. Bryant appeared more than any other L.A. player to have benefitted from the down time. "My legs benefited a lot," Bryant said. "I was able to take some time off and just get stronger, get my legs stronger, body stronger."

However, Bryant wasn’t the only Lakers player that played rejuvenated and Phil Jackson’s squad proved just how challenging they are to defeat when they all committed to common goal.

Lamar Odom had 19 points and 19 boards (seven on offense) and was dialed in throughout.

Paul Gasol was 10 for 13 shooting, even converting on a couple of almost impossible buckets for a man his size. Derek Fisher was defensively possessed in staying with Steve Nash and though he had 13 assists, Fisher and his teammates limited the former MVP to 13 points on only 10 shots.

Two keys for Phoenix coming into the series were rebounding and bench strength. The Suns were outrebounded by eight and their reserves were outscored 44-35 in losing by 21.

"They played great, one of the best games I've seen them play in the playoffs this season," Suns coach Alvin Gentry said. "Kobe kind of controlled the whole game. I thought we could have withstood the game that he had ... but when he's making his jumper like that, there's not a whole lot you can do about it."

Phoenix is going to have to play much better defense as L.A. was fearless doing what they wanted offensively. The Suns are 31-13 ATS after allowing 105 points or more this season and if Kobe stays percolating, they must negate the rest of his teammates since you aren’t going to be on the winning side permitting 58 percent shooting.

Subtract Grant Hill and the other four Phoenix starters shot 59.5 percent, the issue was they generated only 42 attempts. If the Suns expect to tie series and move their spread record to 20-10 after one or more losses, the starters have to get more shots at the rim and Channing Frye and Jared Dudley can’t put up a combined 2 for 13 shooting night.

Sportsbook.com has Phoenix as 6.5-point underdogs, with the total leaping to 215. For those that use online sports betting it’s impossible to ignore the Lakers are 11-1 ATS after three or more consecutive Over’s and 17-6 against the spread in home games when playing only their second game in week. Coach Jackson’s club is 13-4 UNDER after a wipeout win by 20 points or more.

TNT will again have the coverage of Game 2 from LaLa-Land at 9:00 Eastern. The Suns are 14-4 UNDER after a game in which they allowed a shooting percentage of 55 percent or higher.

The StatFox Power Line shows Phoenix by 2, indicating a good chance for the Suns to bounce back.


Monday Means all Systems Go in NBA
2010-02-22

The Utah Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA, winners of 13 of 14 (11-2-1 ATS) and last four in a row, all on the road. They return home against Atlanta who is wrapping up its four game road trip, who has the edge? For the answer to this and other NBA betting edges, read on about today’s top system plays in professional hoops. Get the latest prices on all of Monday’s five games on the LIVE ODDS page of Sportsbook.com.

Chicago (-3, 201) at Washington

Even with an eye on next season already, Chicago Bulls’ players are focused on the present. The Bulls front office has made trades freeing cap space to go after at least one of the enticing free agents in the market place after the season, however the current collection of players have covered seven of eight and five in a row. For tonight’s matchup, the total draws the most attention since road teams with a total of 200 or higher, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, against opponent after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, are 32-10 OVER since 1996.

Milwaukee (+1.5, 206.5) at New York

The New York Knicks have lost six straight and almost won as Tracy McGrady made his debut in the Knicks uniform, falling 121-118 to Oklahoma City Saturday night. Having lost three of four at home to Milwaukee, tonight’s situation does not set up much better as teams revenging a straight up loss vs. opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, are 43-70 ATS since 2004-05, including all six this year.

Indiana (+9, 208.5) at Dallas

The Dallas Mavericks have a run of the mill home record at 17-9; however they are positively disgusting or delightful, depending on what side you wager on them, with a league worst 6-20 ATS home record. Everything doesn’t figure to improve immediately, since home teams playing their fifth game in a week, with a win percent of 60 to 75 percent, playing a team with a losing record, are 20-55 the last 12 years.

Atlanta (+5, 196) at Utah

Both teams are playing their third game in four days, with one obvious distinction; Atlanta has lost their last two, while Utah has won not only previous two, but four in a row. That in theory at least gives the Jazz the edge as home teams covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 31-7 ATS.